1The Zamir White effect
Only 12 RBs have averaged 10+ fantasy points per game in each of the last three seasons. Only nine of those 12 have exceeded 190 fantasy points in each of those seasons. Only four of those nine have missed six or fewer total games. Josh Jacobs is one of those four. Although his game-to-game production fluctuates (as is normal for most RBs), statistically, he has been one of the most consistent startable fantasy RBs since 2019. The question now is whether he can sustain that consistency, especially with rookie Zamir White on board. White profiles as a future NFL starter. If the rookie earns a 1B role out of camp, Jacobs’ ceiling would plummet.
2Would the Raiders trade Jacobs midseason?
The Raiders could shuttle Jacobs elsewhere before the trade deadline. After all, his contract will expire at the end of this season. The team will need to decide if White is the answer and if they’d need Jacobs for a playoff push. If he’s traded to a team that already has an entrenched starter, it would be a worst-case scenario for Jacobs’ fantasy value.
3Ameer Abdullah and Brandon Bolden loom
Jacobs also could face more pressure in the passing game with Ameer Abdullah and Brandon Bolden in line for tertiary touches. Last year, Kenyan Drake averaged 3.3 targets per game. Will most of that work go to anyone not named Jacobs?