Note: John Metchie III announced in July that he was diagnosed with Acute Promyelocytic Leukemia, and that he “will likely not be playing this season.” Although it appears he’s a longshot to take the field this year, we are keeping the following content for historical reference, as well as in the event that Metchie’s status changes.
1Can Metchie secure the No. 2 WR role?
In a somewhat muted passing attack like Houston’s, fantasy relevance hinges on becoming the primary target — and if not the primary target, then at least the No. 2. While Brandin Cooks should remain atop the depth chart, rookie John Metchie III has a shot at securing the No. 2 job.
We might anticipate Nico Collins, a 2021 third-round draft pick, making at least a modest second-year leap, but Metchie may have the higher ceiling. It’s important to note that Metchie had more drops in college than touchdowns. If he plays like a rookie in camp, the more experienced Collins would have the edge.
Metchie tore his ACL in December. While he should be on track for a full recovery before Week 1, it’s possible he’ll be slowed in camp. That’s a tough calculus for rookies, especially those expected to have an immediate impact. If Metchie isn’t at 100% by August, it could suggest that he won’t be fully involved in this offense until several weeks into the season at the earliest.
3How much will this offense improve?
The 2021 Texans were last in the league in yards per carry (3.4) and rushing yards (83.6 per game), and tied for last in rushing scores (eight). The entire offense was last in first downs. Davis Mills averaged only 1.4 TD passes per game, with six of those coming in the final three contests. If this offense moves the ball more effectively, we should see a meaningful scoring uptick, which should translate into more TD opportunities for all involved.