1Terrific ceiling and very low floor
Now playing on a one-year contract, Jeff Wilson Jr. will turn 27 in November, and his hold on a meaningful backfield role is tenuous. How much was his 2021 regression (for example, the worst yards per carry of his career and a measly average of 1.3 yards after contact) due to missing much of the season while on the injured reserve? In other words, could we see a return of the more formidable 2020 Wilson, or is the 2021 version a more accurate picture?
2Can he win the No. 2 RB job?
To maintain a decent possibility of fantasy relevance, he needs to lock down the No. 2 job. As has been the case in recent years, the 49ers’ backfield is loaded with good talent. Wilson won’t get many, if any, second chances if he falters early. A direct handcuff role would be his best realistic shot at some spot starts later in the season.
3X-factor: Elijah Mitchell
No doubt, Elijah Mitchell is the X-factor. If Mitchell somehow stumbles, the door could open once more for Wilson. So, yes, Wilson’s ceiling consists of 20+ touch games. And zero touches is just as possible. That’s the wide variance for Wilson heading into 2022.