1Realistic weekly streamer with Aaron Jones on the field
Like Aaron Jones, AJ Dillon is an RB2/3 with RB1 potential if he becomes the bell cow. Of course, that would require an injury to Jones. For now, Dillon’s realistic range of outcomes is in the top 20-30 range, keeping in mind it took him four games last year for the Packers to begin committing to Dillon as a true complementary back.
2Could Dillon overtake Jones for the 1A role?
Dillon was a 2020 second-round pick. That cannot be overstated, and it’s partly why Green Bay isn’t content to let him ride the bench as a backup. Dillon has the skills to become an NFL star. Do not be surprised if he outperforms Jones this year. That certainly falls within Dillon’s realistic ceiling.
3Still a high-powered passing game?
That said, the same issue applies to Dillon as it does to Jones regarding this offense. Will the Packers continue to rack up yards and points through the air? Historically, that has opened up the running game. Even one more stalled drive per game — equating to 4-6 fewer points per game — could push Dillon into the lower end of his realistic range of outcomes.